Methodology

Transaction Costs: The Silent Killer of Strategies

Gross returns are a fantasy. Spreads, slippage, and market impact quietly convert winning backtests into losing accounts. Costs are not a footnote to the test — they are the test.

Niro Research8 min read

Every strategy looks better on paper than in an account, and most of the difference has a single name: cost. Commissions, the bid–ask spread you cross, slippage between decision and fill, and the market impact of your own order all subtract from the gross number a backtest reports.

The gap between intended and realised performance is well studied — Pérold named it the implementation shortfall[1] — and the cost of trading scales with size and inverse liquidity in ways optimal-execution theory makes precise[2].

170152135118100M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8Gross of costsNet of costs
Figure 1. The same strategy, gross vs. net (illustrative) — Costs compound away most of a high-turnover edge; values illustrative.
A strategy that only works gross of costs does not work.

Why frequency is the multiplier

Costs are paid per trade. A high-turnover approach — intraday or 0DTE — pays the spread over and over, and informed counterparties move the price against size[3]. The faster you trade, the larger the hurdle your raw edge must clear just to break even.

1007550250Cost-freeSpread onlyFull costs
Figure 2. Net result by cost assumption (illustrative) — How the same backtest shrinks as costs are added; conceptual.

Niro models commissions and slippage in every figure, and its paper broker always crosses the spread — there is no cost-free fantasy mode. The number you see is the number you could have kept.

References

  1. Pérold, A. F. (1988). The Implementation Shortfall: Paper versus Reality. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 14(3).
  2. Almgren, R., & Chriss, N. (2000). Optimal Execution of Portfolio Transactions. Journal of Risk, 3(2).
  3. Kyle, A. S. (1985). Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading. Econometrica, 53(6).
Educational research, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Figures labeled illustrative are conceptual and do not represent actual results. Verify all primary sources before relying on them.
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